private renting increases, home ownership fallsHome ownership has fallen to levels last seen in the mid-1980s, according to new figures from the latest Census, conducted in 2011.

The peak was reached in 2001, when 69% of homes were owner-occupied. That figure has now dropped to 64%.

The Census reveals that the number of owner-occupied homes remained steady over the decade at about 15 million, while the total number of households increased, leading to a fall in the proportion of owner-occupied homes.

Historically, the trend has been for more people to buy their own homes, with ownership increasing for over 100 years.  In 1918, the majority (77%) of households in England and Wales rented, with the remaining in ownership. Ownership has increased since then, reaching half of all households by 1971. The Thatcher years saw a continued rise as council house sales and subsidies on mortgages encouraged more people to buy their own homes, reaching an all-time high of 69% in 2001.

More people rent in London

In London, almost half of all homes are rented.  The Office for National Statistics put this down to four factors:

- high house prices in the London area making ownership a distant dream for many

- a younger population, less likely to be able to afford their own home

- labour mobility

- high migrant population

The picture also varies significantly within London, with Hackney, Tower Hamlets and Islington having more than 70% of their households in rented housing.

In England and Wales as a whole, renting from private landlords almost doubled over the decade, up 1.7 million to 3.6 million in 2011, driven largely by the buy to let boom.  In contrast, the number of households socially renting decreased by 100,000 to 4.1 million in 2011.

Expect more Security for Tenants

The huge increase in the number of people renting long-term has led to much talk from politicians on ways to reform the sector to give tenants more security and make landlords more “professional”.   See our article on Ed Milliband’s recent speech and the approach being taken by Boris Johnson in London.  Expect manifesto commitments from both parties on this topic leading up to the next election.

You can read the full ONS report on Home Ownership and Renting here.

 
scottish-housing-red-tape

Too much red tape?

The Scottish government has been indulging in a bit of landlord-bashing of late.

Scotland, which has devolved powers in housing, claims to be leading the way in reforming the private rented sector. Well, they have certainly made some big changes, which have left landlords and letting agents north of the border squealing in protest. But whether they are leading the way or have taken a serious wrong turning somewhere remains to be seen.

So what are these reforms?

Compulsory landlord registration for a start. This was already in place in Scotland but the regime has been strengthened further. All private landlords must register with their local authority before letting out a property. The maximum fine for operating as an “unregistered landlord” is a whopping £50,000.

The purpose of registration is so that the local authority can decide whether the landlord is a “fit and proper person” to let property. Councils are required to check an applicant’s criminal record as well as take into account any complaints they have received or any information they have that the would-be landlord has breached property regulations in the past.  Registration lasts for three years.  Landlords then have to apply again. The current charge to register as a landlord is £55, with an additional fee payable for each property. There are reports that about 6,000 landlords in Glasgow alone have so far failed to register.

Not only that. It is now an offence in Scotland (that’s right – an actual criminal offence) for a landlord to use a letting agent without notifying the local authority.  Failure to do so is punishable by a fine of up to £1000.  Yes, you have read that right: you can get fined for using a letting agent without permission.

And if that wasn’t enough to make any landlord run for the glens, wait until you hear about the “Tenant Information Pack“, or TIP.  TIPs are supposed to become mandatory from early 2013. The TIP is a bit like the disastrous “Home Information Pack” (or HIP) – remember those? – but for rentals, not sales. Landlords will be required to provide all new tenants with a TIP – a sizeable booklet which has to be in a standard format – and which will contain information on things such as property condition, tenancy agreements, EPCs, gas safety, levels of occupancy and rights and responsibilities of landlords and tenants. Failure to provide tenants with a TIP will also be a criminal offence.

Oh, and it is also now illegal in Scotland to charge tenants fees.   This is aimed at those so-called “admin fees” charged to tenants by letting agents, supposedly to check tenant references etc (and we thought that’s what the landlord was paying the agents for).

Further proposals that may be in the pipeline include compulsory licensing for letting agents and possible reforms to tenancy agreements, to give tenants more security of tenure.

RentFair says…

We welcome the outlawing of fees charged to tenants.   Letting agents charge landlords up to 10% of the annual rent to find tenants, reference them and draw up a tenancy agreement.  It is clearly wrong for them to charge the tenants for the same tasks.  It is only because good rental property is in high demand that agents have been able to get away with this practice and it is time it stopped in the rest of the UK too.

But that aside, these proposals are a backward step and will not achieve their stated aims. The vast majority of landlords and letting agents (well, landlords anyway) are decent honest people, perhaps with one or two buy-to-let properties that they are hoping will suffice for a pension. Others may be so-called “accidental landlords” who are driven into letting out their home because they have been unable to sell it and need to move, perhaps for work reasons.   Demonising these people and threatening them with criminal sanctions or massive fines if they fail to register or if they – heaven forbid – dare to use a letting agent without Big Brother’s permission is not the way forward.

As for Tenant Information Packs. How many tenants care about occupancy levels or their EPC rating? They will be more concerned as to whether the production of the mound of paper sheepishly handed to them by their landlord is likely to have resulted in a rent increase. The TIP will go straight in the recycling box, unread. Most of the information is readily available anyway if tenants are interested.

And anyway, how are all these new laws going to be policed?  The reports that 6,000 landlords in Glasgow alone have failed to obtain licences is hardly surprising.  Is Glasgow council really going to start fining these law breakers up to £50,000 each?  And how will it trace unregistered landlords anyway?  If they can’t get round to registering they are not going to advertise that fact.

And what happens if a landlord is declared unfit to be a landlord?  Does he have to evict his tenants or face prosecution?

The result of all this Scottish regulation is likely to be this:  badly-behaved landlords will continue to flout the law, as they do now, good landlords will think twice about taking on any more properties, and many would-be landlords will be put off the whole idea.  Some letting agents will go out of business. Fewer landlords may be welcomed by some, but fewer landlords means fewer rental properties,which inevitably means higher rents. Unless the Scottish government plans to regulate rents too, of course. Our advice to investors: don’t buy in Scotland.

 

 

london house prices defy gravityHouse Prices in England and Wales fell slightly (0.3%) in October 2012 according to the Land Registry, but were up slightly year-on-year.

Once again, the figures show wide regional variation. Prices in London are up 7% over the year, whilst homes in the North East of England fell 5.8% over the same period. In October alone, London prices rose 1%, but the biggest monthly increase was in Wales, which saw a 1.5% jump.   Economists are struggling to interpret the figures, which run contrary to many forecasts.

Earlier this month, Nationwide released figures showing a 0.6% rise in house prices in October but the Land Registry figures are more authoritative because they show actual sale figures on all transactions.  The Bank of England also released figures this week showing mortgage approvals are at a 10 month high.  We suspect that a good proportion of those approvals will be for buy to let mortgages, where greater competition amongst lenders is starting to produce some more favourable rates.

 

 

House prices are continuing to rise, albeit slowly.  The Land Registry has just released data for May showing a 0.5% increase over the month, giving an annual rise to the end of May of 0.4%.  Flats and Maisonettes saw the biggest increases.  The Land Registry index is considered to be the most accurate as it is based on actual sales figures for every transaction across the whole of England and Wales.

Once again, London is leading the way, with a 7.7% increase over the year, and 2.6% in May alone.  The average London house price now stands at £365,359.   Prime London postcodes are continuing to attract interest from wealthy overseas investors looking for a safe haven for their money.

According to the Land Registry data, every region except the South East saw a drop in house prices over the year.  Yorkshire and the Humber experienced the greatest annual fall, with prices dropping 3.9%.

 

Pulling up the ladder?  A new report reflects the growing divide between the “haves” and the “have nots” in the housing sector.  Good news for portfolio landlords perhaps but arguably the report reveals more worrying trends in British Society as home ownership becomes unaffordable for millions.

The Cambridge University report reveals that we are rapidly becoming a society where private renting will be the norm, particularly for families and younger people.

The researchers attribute the changes to several factors:  a growing and ageing population, difficulties of accessing mortgage finance, past housing policies and the increasing costs of housing.  Millions of young families will never be able to afford to buy their own home and will be renting privately for life if present trends continue.   As usual, London bucks the trend a little – social, particularly council, renting is still very important in the capital and is expected to remain so, with more than half of low to middle income families expected to rent socially in 2025 if the tenure remains available to them.

The study, commissioned jointly by the housing charity, Shelter, and the independent Resolution Foundation, argues that the state of the economy will be critical to any change. If the economy starts to recover, a proportion of the estimated one million households who are currently excluded from home ownership may find their way onto the housing ladder. Without a recovery, mortgaged home ownership is expected to plummet to just 27% of households by 2025.

The change is not new.  Between 1994 and 2010, the proportion of English households renting privately increased from 8 to 13% (19% in London). Over the same period “mortgaged ownership” fell from 43 to 35%.

One further interesting fact emerging from the report is the huge increase in the number of people owning their property outright, without a mortgage.  Between 1994 and 2010 outright ownership increased from 25 to 34% of all households.  Even in London, a quarter of homes are now owned outright.

A summary of the report, Housing in Transition, is available on the Resolution Foundation’s website.

 

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